| 摘要: |
| ［目的］基于空间变异理论预测郑州市休闲农业的空间发展趋势，以期为郑州市休闲农业的发展提供支持，并弥补该研究领域的不足。［方法］采用统计分析法统计2010—2017年郑州市各县市区的规模以上休闲农庄数量和各区域面积，采用空间分析法计算各区域休闲农业空间分布密度确定其空间变异性，结合郑州市各县市区的区位条件、休闲农业资源和交通状况，综合分析郑州市休闲农业的未来发展方向。［结果］(1)郑州市休闲农业的数量从2010年的39家增加到2017年的282家，其中增长幅度最大的是惠济区，其次是荥阳市和登封市；(2)惠济区的休闲农业分布密度历年均居各县市区之首，而且呈现逐年增加的趋势，登封市和荥阳市的休闲农业分布密度历年均远高于除惠济区外的其他县市区；(3)各县市区的区位条件、交通状况和休闲农业资源存在差异，造成各区域休闲农业发展不均衡。［结论］郑州市休闲农业未来的主要发展区域将会以惠济区、金水区、荥阳市和登封市为主，依托有利的交通优势以郑州市中心向周边县市扩散，以现代农业和高效农业发展为主的管城区和中牟县将会成为未来全市休闲农业发展的重点开发区域。 |
| 关键词: 休闲农业空间变异发展趋势空间分析法郑州市 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号:F5927； F3234 |
| 基金项目:文化和旅游部文化艺术和旅游职业教育研究项目“高职旅游管理专业创新创业教育实践与探索” |
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| PREDICTION OF DEVELOPMENT TREND OF LEISURE AGRICULTURE IN ZHENGZHOU BASED ON SPATIAL VARIATION |
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Xiao Jing
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Zhengzhou Tourism college，Henan, Zhengzhou 450009, China
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| Abstract: |
| This research is intended to predict the spatial development trend of leisure agriculture in Zhengzhou city based on the theory of spatial variability, so as to provide support for the development of leisure agriculture in Zhengzhou city and to make up for the deficiencies in this field. Statistical analysis method was used to count the number of leisure farms above designated size and the area of each district in Zhengzhou city from 2010 to 2017. And spatial analysis was used to calculate the spatial variability of leisure agriculture in each region, and the spatial variability was determined. In addition, the location conditions, leisure agricultural resources and traffic conditions in each county and city were comprehensively analyzed in the future development direction of leisure agriculture in Zhengzhou city. The number of leisure agriculture in Zhengzhou increased from 39 in 2010 to 282 in 2017, of which the largest increase was in Huiji district, followed by Fuyang city and Dengfeng city; the distribution density of leisure agriculture in Huiji district ranked first in all counties and towns over the years, and it had been increasing year by year. The distribution density of leisure agriculture in Dengfeng city and Xiangyang city had been much higher than that of other counties and cities except Huiji district.There are differences in the location, traffic conditions and leisure agricultural resources, resulting in unbalanced development of leisure agriculture in all regions. In the future, the main development areas of leisure agriculture in Zhengzhou will be Huiji district, Jinshui district, Xiangyang city, and Dengfeng city. Relying on favorable transportation advantages, Zhengzhou City Center will spread to neighboring counties and cities in a modern and efficient manner. The Guancheng district and Zhongmu county, where agricultural development is dominant, will be the key areas for the development of leisure agriculture in the future. |
| Key words: leisure agriculture spatial variation development trend spatial analysis method Zhengzhou city |
