| 摘要: |
| 目的 气候变化适应是发展“气候智慧型农业”的重要内涵，是实现国家粮食安全和可持续发展的根本途径之一。方法 文章通过构建农户“气候变化认知—适应性行为”决策分析框架，并利用湖北省“十县百组千户”的调查数据与结构方程模型，以探究农户气候变化认知（自然环境认知、经济需求认知、自我效能认知）对其（主动型、被动型）适应性耕作行为的影响。结果 （1）农户气候变化认知水平提高能促进其采取适应性耕作行为；其中，气候变化认知水平提高促进其采取主动型适应性耕作行为的作用更大。（2）从影响路径来看，自然环境认知、自我效能认知通过影响情感态度、问题应对策略，经济需求认知通过影响情感态度，以促进农户采取适应性耕作行为。（3）多群组分析还发现，受教育程度越高、家庭农业收入占比越大、种植规模越大的农户，其气候变化认知水平越高，则越倾向于采取主动型适应性耕作行为。结论 政府应及时发布气候变化的新闻资讯、加大气候变化知识的宣传教育力度、加强适应性耕作技术的相关培训、完善农业气象指数保险，以强化农户自然环境认知、提高经济需求认知和自我效能认知，进而引导其采取适应性耕作行为。 |
| 关键词: 气候变化认知 适应性耕作行为 十县百组千户 结构方程模型 多群组分析 |
| DOI：10.7621/cjarrp.1005-9121.20210228 |
| 分类号:F323.32 |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金青年项目“水稻全生命周期的碳足迹演化及对气候变化的响应机制研究——以长江中下游地区为例”（41501213）；国家自然科学基金青年项目“集约化畜禽养殖有机废弃物循环利用的减碳补偿机理及政策设计研究”（71703051）；教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“绿色化的重大意义及实现途径研究”（15JZD014）；中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目“稻秸资源化利用的温室气体排放机理与减排策略研究——以江汉平原为例”（2662017PY045） |
|
| COGNITION OF FARMERS’ CLIMATE CHANGE AND ITS IMPACT ON ADAPTABLE TILLAGE BEHAVIOR*——BASED ON A THOUSAND HOUSEHOLDS’ FIELD SURVEY IN TEN COUNTIES OF HUBEI PROVINCE |
|
Li Hongli1,2, Zhang Junbiao1,2, Zhang Lu1,2, Luo Sixuan1,2
|
|
1.College of Economics Management, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, China;2.Hubei Rural Development Research Center，Wuhan 430070 , Hubei, China
|
| Abstract: |
| Adaptation to climate change is an important connotation of developing "climate-smart agriculture" and one of the fundamental ways to achieve national food security and sustainable development. This paper constructed a "cognition-behavior" decision framework to explore the impact of farmers’ climate change cognitions (including natural environmental cognition, economic demanding cognition, and self-efficacy cognition) on their (active and passive) adaptive tillage behaviors. With data collected from ten counties in Hubei province, this study employed Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) for the empirical analysis. The results showed that: (1) Enhancing rural households’ climate change cognitive levels could promote their adoption of (active and passive) adaptive tillage behaviors, among which the impact of climate change cognition on active adaptive tillage behavior was greater than the passive adaptive tillage behavior; (2) From the perspective of the influence path, natural environment cognition and self-efficacy cognition could promote rural households to adopt adaptive tillage behavior by influencing their emotional attitudes and coping strategies, and economic demand cognition could promote rural households to adopt adaptive tillage behavior by influencing their emotional attitudes; (3) Results from multi-group analysis indicated that rural households with higher education level, higher proportion of family agricultural income and larger planting scale had high cognition level of climate change, and therefore, tend to adopt active adaptive tillage behaviors. Therefore, the government should release the news of climate change timely, intensify propaganda of climate change knowledge, strengthen training on adaptative training, and improve the agrometeoro logical index insurance, so as to improve farmers′ natural environment cognition, economic demand cognition and self-efficacy cognition to adopt adaptive tillage behavior. |
| Key words: climate change cognition adaptive tillage behavior hundreds of rural households in ten counties Structural Equation Modeling multi-group analysis |
