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中国乡村振兴发展水平的区域差异及动态演进分析
薛龙飞1,曹招锋1,杨晨2
1.河北经贸大学商学院,石家庄 050061;2.河北经贸大学数学与统计学院,石家庄 050061
摘要:
目的 科学客观地构建乡村振兴评价指标体系,探寻全国乡村振兴发展水平的区域差异及动态演进趋势,以期为实现脱贫攻坚与乡村振兴有效衔接,推动农村发展提供理论支持与政策建议。方法 文章从产业兴旺、生态宜居、乡风文明、治理有效和生活富裕5个维度构建乡村振兴发展水平评价体系。采用熵值法测算2009—2018年中国30个省(市、自治区,不含港澳台和西藏)的乡村振兴发展水平,利用Dagum基尼系数研究区域差异,并根据Markov链分析动态演进趋势。结果 全国乡村振兴发展水平呈现波动上升趋势,且各地区间的发展水平存在非均衡性,表现为东部>中部>东北>西部的分布特征;在区域内差距上,东部区域内差异最大且呈现逐渐扩大趋势;在地区间差距上,东部—西部地区间差距最大但呈现逐渐缩小趋势;从动态演进趋势来看,中国整体的乡村振兴发展水平处于由低阶段、中低阶段向中高阶段、高阶段快速发展提升的时期。结论 充分考虑东部、中部、西部和东北地区的乡村振兴发展水平,结合资源禀赋协调区域差异,切实实现各地区乡村发展能力的提升和优化,保障乡村振兴的有序平稳进行。
关键词:  乡村振兴  区域差异  动态演进  Dagum基尼系数  Markov链
DOI:10.7621/cjarrp.1005-9121.20220924
分类号:F320.3;F329.9
基金项目:河北省社科基金项目“基于多维贫困视角下河北省农村脱贫攻坚问题研究”(HB18YJ054)
REGIONAL DIFFERENCES AND DYNAMIC EVOLUTION OF RURAL REVITALIZATION EVALUATION IN CHINA
Xue Longfei1, Cao Zhaofeng1, Yang Chen2
1.Business School, Hebei University of Economics and Business, Shijiazhuang 050061, Hebei, China;2.College of Mathematics & Statistics, Hebei University of Economics and Business, Shijiazhuang 050061, Hebei, China
Abstract:
This research aims to construct a scientific evaluation index system for rural revitalization, and then explore the regional differences and dynamic evolution trend of the development level of rural revitalization in China, so as to provide the theoretical support and policy suggestions for the effective connection between poverty alleviation with rural revitalization and promoting rural development. The evaluation system of rural revitalization development level was constructed from five aspects: industrial prosperity, ecological livable, local culture and civilization, effective governance and rich life. The entropy method was used to calculate the level of rural revitalization and development, focusing on 30 provinces(excluding Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan and Tibet) in China from 2009 to 2018. And then Dagum Gini coefficient was used to study regional differences, and the dynamic evolution trend was analyzed according to Markov chain. The development level of rural revitalization in China showed an upward trend of fluctuation, and the development level of different regions was not balanced, which showed the distribution characteristics of eastern > central > northeast > western regions. In terms of the intra-regional gap, the eastern region had the largest and gradually enlarging trend. In terms of regional gap, the gap between eastern and western regions was the largest but gradually narrowing trend. From the perspective of dynamic evolution, China's overall rural vitalization was in a period of rapid development from a low and medium-low stage to a medium-high and high stage. In summary, the development level of rural revitalization should be considered in the eastern, central, western and northeastern regions. In addition, regional differences should be coordinated based on resource endowment, so as to effectively improve and optimize the rural development capacity of each region and ensure the orderly and stable progress of rural revitalization.
Key words:  rural vitalization  regional differences  dynamic evolution  Dagum Gini coefficient  Markov chain